Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
3 - 1
Birmingham

Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Millwall 2-1 Birmingham City

Millwall and Birmingham head into this contest off the back of contrasting results last weekend, with the Blues in higher spirits and hoping to leapfrog the Lions in the table with a victory. However, the hosts have enjoyed playing at The Den in recent weeks and we can see Rowett's men returning to winning ways with a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Birmingham City
42.88%	29.18%	27.94%

Both teams to score 42.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.15%

63.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.92%

83.08%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41%

29.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.38%

65.62%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.28%

39.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.61%

76.39%

Score Analysis

Millwall 42.88%

Birmingham City 27.94%

Draw 29.17%

Millwall	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 14.31% 2-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 8.05% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.42% Total : 42.88%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.17%	0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.42% Total : 27.94%