FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Meadow Park

Boreham Wood
1 - 1
Accrington

Ndlovu (78')
Newton (45'), Evans (70'), Sousa (84'), Ilesanmi (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Astley (6')
Whalley (53'), Savin (58'), Perritt (71')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Boreham Wood and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boreham Wood

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Barnet
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Derby 4-0 Accrington
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Boreham Wood 1-0 Accrington Stanley

With Accrington heading into this cup match in poor form in League One, we expect to see a tight affair at Meadow Park. With their confidence surely boosted by last season's cup run - as well as their victory against Bristol Rovers in the previous round - it would be no surprise to see another upset ensue in favour of the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Boreham Wood	Draw	Accrington Stanley
35.83%	25.8% ( -0)	38.36% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.64%

49.35% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6%

71.4% (

-0)

Boreham Wood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35%

26.64% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12%

61.88% (

-0)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78% (

-0)

25.21% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.04% (

-0)

59.95% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Boreham Wood 35.83%

Accrington Stanley 38.36%

Draw 25.8%

Boreham Wood	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 8.89% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.83%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.36%