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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
28.88% ( 0.12) | 25.29% ( -0.01) | 45.83% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.72% ( 0.11) | 49.28% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.66% ( 0.1) | 71.33% ( -0.1) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% ( 0.14) | 31.14% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% ( 0.17) | 67.47% ( -0.17) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% ( -0) | 21.51% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% ( -0) | 54.56% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.88% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |