FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
3 - 1
Southend

Khan (6'), Croll (14'), Tshimanga (79')
Payne (48'), King (71'), Weston (85')
Miller (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Murphy (4')
Brunt (90+7')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Chesterfield and Southend United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Southend United
49.1%	25.5%	25.4%

Both teams to score 50.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.61%

52.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.93%

74.07%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64%

21.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67%

54.32%

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46%

35.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69%

72.31%

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 49.09%

Southend United 25.4%

Draw 25.5%

Chesterfield	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.09%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.4%