FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK

Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
0 - 0
Cambridge

Peers (60'), Matthews (79')

Dunk (9'), Knibbs (90+4'), Digby (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Curzon Ashton and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-3 Hereford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Curzon Ashton 1-3 Cambridge United

Curzon Ashton will be desperate to impress in what is one of the biggest games in the club's history on Sunday when Cambridge United come to town. However, the hosts are not exactly setting the world alight in the sixth tier of English football and a comfortable away win is widely expected here for Bonner and his Cambridge team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Cambridge United
18.17% ( 0.04)	19.99% ( -0.06)	61.84% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.69% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.05% (

0.37)

36.95% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.87% (

0.4)

59.13% (

-0.4)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32% (

0.27)

33.68% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.67% (

0.29)

70.33% (

-0.28)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.49% (

0.12)

11.51% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.61% (

0.26)

36.39% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 18.17%

Cambridge United 61.84%

Draw 19.99%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Cambridge United
2-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.17%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.99%	1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 7.11% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.53% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 61.84%