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League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Port Vale

Cambridge
0 - 1
Port Vale


Simper (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Digby (79' og.)
Worrall (27'), Massey (78'), Conlon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Ipswich
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Cambridge United 0-2 Port Vale

 Port Vale are unbeaten in their last three, and although they may not have the most potent attack, they face a Cambridge side who have been generous in giving up goals. Cambridge are struggling for form in the league, and we think Port Vale will take advantage of that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawPort Vale
23.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.38% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 50.86% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.43% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.24% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.033999999999999 0.03)74.79% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.47% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)74.25% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)20.95% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.69% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 23.75%
    Port Vale 50.86%
    Draw 25.38%
Cambridge UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.91%
2-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.75%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 50.86%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Port Vale

Cambridge United
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Port Vale
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Port Vale
0-1
Cambridge
O'Neil (85')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Cambridge
3-1
Port Vale
Mullin (3' pen., 51', 90+5')
May (84')
Robinson (18' pen.)
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Cambridge
P-P
Port Vale
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Cambridge
Davies (84' og.)
Gibbons (79')

Taft (32'), O'Neil (53'), Roles (78')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Cambridge
1-0
Port Vale
Amoo (19')
Brown (60'), Carroll (66')

Kay (32'), Smith (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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