FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fuling Stadium
Ebbsfleet2 - 1Halifax
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Ebbsfleet and Halifax Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Oldham
Saturday, October 29 at 5.20pm in National League
Saturday, October 29 at 5.20pm in National League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Halifax Town |
41.45% ( 0.23) | 24.94% ( -0.04) | 33.61% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 57.42% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.14% ( 0.14) | 45.86% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.83% ( 0.13) | 68.18% ( -0.13) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.91% ( 0.17) | 22.09% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.55% ( 0.25) | 55.45% ( -0.25) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.7% ( -0.04) | 26.3% ( 0.05) |