MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:31:32| >> :600:87730:87730:
Everton logo
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Crystal Palace logo

Everton
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Gomes (42')
Harrison (48'), Calvert-Lewin (85'), Virginia (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lerma (41'), Andersen (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Everton and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace (a.e.t, Everton to win on penalties)

A 13-day rest ought to have done Palace's shot-shy attackers the world of good, while jellied legs are sure to at least slightly hinder Wednesday's hosts, but their dogged display against a title-chasing Aston Villa is to be commended. The net may therefore ripple at both ends this week, but separating these two sides over the course of normal time and extra time remains an impossible ask. Everton have already lost one penalty shootout in the EFL Cup this term, but we are now backing Dyche's side to learn from that heartache and prevail from 12 yards this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
EvertonDrawCrystal Palace
41.97% (1.112 1.11) 26.11% (-0.178 -0.18) 31.91% (-0.941 -0.94)
Both teams to score 52.95% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (0.464 0.46)51.4% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.402 0.4)73.22% (-0.41000000000001 -0.41)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (0.77500000000001 0.78)24.25% (-0.781 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.38% (1.091 1.09)58.61% (-1.097 -1.1)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-0.395 -0.39)30.09% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (-0.476 -0.48)66.23% (0.46899999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Everton 41.96%
    Crystal Palace 31.91%
    Draw 26.1%
EvertonDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.087 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.96%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Everton vs Crystal Palace

Everton
56.9%
Draw
24.8%
Crystal Palace
18.3%
109
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2024 8pm
Third Round
Crystal Palace
0-0
Everton
Eze (13'), Mateta (86')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crystal Palace
2-3
Everton
Eze (5' pen.), Edouard (74')
Eze (24')
Mykolenko (1'), Doucoure (49'), Gueye (86')
Doucoure (45+2'), Onana (87'), Garner (89'), Mykolenko (90+7')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Everton
3-2
Crystal Palace
Keane (54'), Richarlison (75'), Calvert-Lewin (85')
Keane (67'), Doucoure (82')
Mateta (21'), Ayew (36')
Hughes (32'), Ayew (34'), Zaha (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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