Chelsea

2 - 1

Crystal Palace

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.