Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.