Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Woking had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Woking win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.