Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leiston win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Waltham Abbey had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leiston win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Waltham Abbey win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leiston would win this match.