FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale5 - 1Accrington
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Port Vale and Accrington Stanley.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 34.52% | 26.13% | 39.34% |
| Both teams to score 53.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.09% | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.22% | 72.78% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% | 28.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.14% | 63.86% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% | 25.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.8% | 60.2% |
| Score Analysis |
Port Vale 34.52%
Accrington Stanley 39.34%
Draw 26.13%
| Port Vale | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.52% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.34% |
Form Guide
