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Port Vale
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
Vale Park
Rochdale

Port Vale
1 - 0
Rochdale

J (90+3' og.)
Taylor (2'), Walker (40'), Benning (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keohane (29'), Taylor (55'), Kelly (57')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Port Vale and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawRochdale
38.9%25.86%35.24%
Both teams to score 54.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37%49.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35%71.65%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95%25.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27%59.73%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88%27.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49%62.51%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 38.9%
    Rochdale 35.24%
    Draw 25.85%
Port ValeDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.24%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Rochdale

Port Vale
57.1%
Draw
35.7%
Rochdale
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Port Vale
2-3
Rochdale
Proctor (8', 59')
Beesley (24', 53'), O'Keeffe (79')
Beesley (88'), O'Connell (90+1')
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Rochdale
3-0
Port Vale
Lund (34'), McDermott (43'), Henderson (45' pen.)
Camps (49'), McDermott (51'), Andrew (60')

Taylor (62'), Bikey (72')
Pugh (21')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-0
Rochdale
Smith (52')
Grant (18'), Streete (80')

Cannon (17'), McNulty (72'), Canavan (95')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
4-1
Rochdale
Robinson (37'), O'Connor (45' pen., 76' pen.), Hooper (46')
Andrew (50')
Eastham (29')
Nov 28, 2015 3pm
Rochdale
2-1
Port Vale
Henderson (40' pen.), Mendez-Laing (78')
O'Sullivan (15'), Mcdermott (54'), Andrew (81'), Camps (88')
Birchall (13')
Dickinson (40')
Dickinson (96')
rhs 2.0
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