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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Borough Sports Ground
Port Vale

Sutton
4 - 3
Port Vale

Milsom (36'), Garrity (69' og.), Randall (87'), Rowe (90+1')
Bouzanis (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Smith (21'), Proctor (28'), Conlon (78')
Smith (42'), Gibbons (47'), Worrall (67'), Jones (81'), Lloyd (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawPort Vale
38.72%28.98%32.3%
Both teams to score 44.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.97%62.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.24%81.76%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91%31.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59%67.4%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67%35.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92%72.08%
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 38.72%
    Port Vale 32.29%
    Draw 28.98%
Sutton UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 12.83%
2-1 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 38.72%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.98%
0-1 @ 11.42%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 32.29%

How you voted: Sutton vs Port Vale

Sutton United
29.6%
Draw
29.6%
Port Vale
40.7%
27
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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