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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Port Vale |
27.56% | 25.88% | 46.55% |
Both teams to score 51.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.54% | 52.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.87% | 74.12% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.2% | 33.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.53% | 70.46% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% | 22.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% | 56.08% |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 8.25% 2-1 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 8.46% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.14% Total : 46.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |