Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tilbury win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Buckhurst Hill had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tilbury win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Buckhurst Hill win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tilbury would win this match.