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Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cagliari logo

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Cagliari

Vlahovic (72')
Biraghi (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Oliva (53'), Tramoni (86'), Pavoletti (90+1')

Preview: Fiorentina vs. Cagliari - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fiorentina entertain Cagliari in Serie A on Sunday with the two sides separated by a solitary point in the table.

The visitors are in desperate need of a positive result, having failed to win any of their last nine league matches.


Match preview

Cesare Prandelli, now in charge of Fiorentina, pictured in April 2019© Reuters

Fiorentina, meanwhile, have picked up a little in recent matches, with Wednesday's 2-1 loss away to Lazio their first loss in five matches.

Indeed, results have gradually improved since appointing Cesare Prandelli as manager in November, perhaps helped by the fact that the 63-year-old has previously enjoyed a successful five-year spell at the helm of the club.

However, Prandelli finds the club in a considerably unhealthier position than he did when taking over more than 15 years ago. Prandelli, who left the club in 2010 to take the Italian national team job, guided Fiorentina to the Champions League in the 2008-09 season, but dreams as grand as that remain an unrealistic possibility for the foreseeable future.

Having sold their former talisman Federico Chiesa to Juventus in the summer transfer window, this season is largely about consolidation, which Prandelli looks on course to achieve, albeit results will still be expected to improve.

Radja Nainggolan celebrates after scoring for Cagliari against Inter Milan in January 2020© Reuters

Cagliari, meanwhile, are used to fighting against relegation, having finished in the bottom half of Serie A in each of the last four seasons since returning to Italy's top flight.

Eusebio Di Francesco was brought in as manager in August, with the former Roma and Sampdoria boss struggling to implement any consistency at the club so far this season.

Indeed, after a fairly bright start to the season, his side are currently on a winless run of nine matches, seeing them slide to 15th in the table and only two points outside of the relegation zone.

There are not many problems offensively, with Joao Pedro's strike in the 2-1 defeat to Benevento on Wednesday the forward's 10th league goal of the season already. However, only Crotone have conceded more goals than Di Francesco's side, so it is clear to see which area of the pitch the 51-year-old needs to focus on improving.

Fiorentina Serie A form: LDDWDL

Cagliari Serie A form: LDDLLL


Team News

Franck Ribery in action for Fiorentina in September 2020© Reuters

Fiorentina will be without Franck Ribery through injury, while Gaetano Castrovilli is suspended after picking up his fifth caution of the season in the defeat to Lazio.

Otherwise, Prandelli appears to have a full squad of players at his disposal, with Borja Valero likely to come into the side in place of Castrovilli.

Cagliari, meanwhile, will not have Zito Luvumbo, Adam Ounas, Paolo Farago, Marko Rog and Diego Godin available for the trip to Florence due to injury.

Andrea Carboni and former Liverpool defender Ragnar Klavan will also stay at home due to coronavirus, while Nahitan Nandez is suspended after his untimely dismissal in the defeat to Benevento.

Fiorentina possible starting lineup:
Dragowski; Milenkovic, Pezzella, Igor; Caceres, Bonaventura, Valero, Amrabat, Biraghi; Kouame, Vlahovic

Cagliari possible starting lineup:
Cragno; Zappa, Walukiewicz, Ceppitelli, Tripaldelli; Nainggolan, Marin, Pereiro; Pedro, Sottil; Simeone


SM words green background

We say: Fiorentina 2-1 Cagliari

With Cagliari missing several first-team players due to a combination of injury, illness and suspension, we can envisage a home victory for Fiorentina.

Prandelli's side rarely do things the easy way, though, with Joao Pedro likely to be a thorn in their side throughout the match.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Written by
Brett Curtis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cagliari

Fiorentina
71.3%
Draw
19.4%
Cagliari
9.3%
108
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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