Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.88%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
