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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
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Bayern
3 - 1
Dortmund

Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 4-2 Borussia Dortmund

 As has been the case in recent years, this looks set to be a hugely entertaining game on Saturday, with both sides tending to ignore defensive concerns to focus on an attacking mindset in past meetings. We believe that trend will continue here, with Bayern having too much for their visitors, who are missing a number of players and look incapable of being able to contain the threat of their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
66.08%18.43%15.48%
Both teams to score 58.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.42%34.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.48%56.51%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24%9.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.54%32.45%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.7%35.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95%72.05%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 66.08%
    Borussia Dortmund 15.48%
    Draw 18.43%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 7.54%
3-0 @ 7.24%
4-1 @ 4.39%
4-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.92%
4-2 @ 2.28%
5-1 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 1.96%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 66.08%
1-1 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 5.06%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.43%
1-2 @ 4.35%
0-1 @ 3.58%
0-2 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 15.48%

How you voted: Bayern vs Dortmund

Bayern Munich
71.0%
Draw
10.0%
Borussia Dortmund
19.0%
100
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')
Lewandowski (9', 77'), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')
Aug 17, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
1-3
Bayern
Reus (64')
Reus (25'), Dahoud (32')
Lewandowski (41', 74'), Muller (50')
Sule (23'), Sane (83'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+3')
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Lewandowski (26', 44' pen., 90'), Goretzka (88')
Lewandowski (28')
Braut Haaland (2', 9')
Meunier (29')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Reus (45'), Braut Haaland (83')
Delaney (45+3'), Witsel (90+1')
Alaba (45+4'), Lewandowski (48'), Sane (80')
Kimmich (36'), Lewandowski (82')
Sep 30, 2020 7.30pm
Bayern
3-2
Dortmund
Tolisso (18'), Muller (32'), Kimmich (82')
Hernandez (66')
Brandt (39'), Braut Haaland (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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