Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz 053 - 1Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 60 | 77 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
We said: Mainz 05 1-3 Bayern Munich
It is difficult to imagine Bayern taking their foot off the gas here despite having nothing left to play for, so we are predicting an away victory. The hosts continue to finish the season poorly so they are unlikely to be able to contain the firepower of their visitors, although the intense atmosphere and strong record at the Opel Arena mean they should cause some nervy moments for the champions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 13.72% | 18.9% | 67.39% |
| Both teams to score 51.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
