We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-2 Manchester City
In spite of their lack of defensive options, a backline of Fernandinho and Laporte is still a reliable pairing for Man City, whereas Wolves are not the same defensive force that very nearly shut the champions out at the Etihad.
Guardiola's side only have the Premier League title left to fight for this term and have been in utterly ruthless form domestically, which is sure to aid their prospects of victory against a Wolves side whose inconsistency at Molineux should bedevil them once again.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 76.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 8.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.45%) and 0-1 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.