MX23RW : Wednesday, September 4 21:11:40| >> :60:272:272:
Club Friendlies 2
Jul 20, 2024 at 4pm UK
Goztepe Gursel Aksel Stadi (Izmir)
Luton Town

Goztepe SK
3 - 2
Luton

Kanatsizkus (25'), Cardoso (29'), Kayan (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nelson (72', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Goztepe SK and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fehervar 2-2 Goztepe SK
Wednesday, July 17 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 2
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Rukh Lviv
Tuesday, July 16 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Goztepe SK 0-2 Luton Town

A closely-fought contest could be on the cards in Slovenia this weekend, but we feel that Luton will have the edge in the final third and should find a way to navigate past Goztepe en route to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goztepe SK win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 12.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goztepe SK win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goztepe SK would win this match.

Result
Goztepe SKDrawLuton Town
68.39% (0.322 0.32) 18.73% (-0.14 -0.14) 12.88% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.98% (0.2 0.2)42.02% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (0.201 0.2)64.42% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goztepe SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.75% (0.14200000000001 0.14)11.24% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.18% (0.31100000000001 0.31)35.82% (-0.309 -0.31)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.31% (-0.155 -0.16)43.69% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.13% (-0.128 -0.13)79.87% (0.12899999999999 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Goztepe SK 68.38%
    Luton Town 12.88%
    Draw 18.73%
Goztepe SKDrawLuton Town
2-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.55% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.08% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.87% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 68.38%
1-1 @ 8.89% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 18.73%
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 12.88%

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