Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Klagenfurt win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Leoben had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Klagenfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Leoben win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria Klagenfurt would win this match.