Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Chemnitzer had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Chemnitzer win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.