Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Gainsborough Trinity had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Gainsborough Trinity win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.