Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Legnago Salus had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Legnago Salus win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.