Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Catanzaro
40.19% ( -0.11)	27.71% ( -0.03)	32.1% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 48.11% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.4% (

0.14)

57.61% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.62% (

0.11)

78.38% (

-0.11)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

28.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

0.01)

63.71% (

-0)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.87% (

0.18)

33.13% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.27% (

0.2)

69.73% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Modena 40.19%

Catanzaro 32.09%

Draw 27.71%

Modena	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 40.19%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.09%