Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sangiuliano City had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Sangiuliano City win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.