Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 67.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Rapperswil-Jona had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Rapperswil-Jona win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.