Goztepe SK's stay in the Super Lig is hurtling towards an end, with anything over than three points against Gaziantep on Saturday afternoon likely to end in relegation.
A staggering 13 points separates Goztepe from safety, with just 15 points of the campaign left to play.
Match preview
Only Yeni Malatyaspor sit below Goztepe in the Super Lig table, with the Goz Goz set to become the next side to face relegation.
Should Goztepe suffer the dreaded drop, they will only have themselves to blame, as an astonishing run of 10 straight defeats ended any lingering survival hopes.
No side have taken fewer points from the previous 10 league matches than Goztepe, as the second tier beckons for the Istanbul-based outfit.
For Gaziantep, their own status as a Super Lig club is not yet secured, with an 11-point buffer sitting between themselves and survival.
While relegation is unlikely, Gaziantep will be keen to finish the season strong, despite falling considerably short of their finish last time out.
Ending the 2020-21 campaign in ninth, Gaziantep's current position of 15th is some drop off in comparison, but they should be confident of securing their place in next season's Super Lig.
Gaziantep have lost just one of their meetings with Goztepe since the beginning of 2012-13, while going unbeaten in eight of those nine matches.
However, they have managed only one victory during that time, and suffered defeat in the reverse fixture back in December.
A 2-1 victory for Goztepe had offered some hope of survival, but a sharp drop off in form since has left their chances in tatters.
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Team News
As the final bid for survival is set to kick off for Goztepe, they will be without a number of key players for the visit to fellow strugglers Gaziantep.
A red card for Francois Moubandje in Goztepe's last outing means that the midfielder will be missing for the crunch game.
On the injury front, Atinc Nukan is suffering from a knee injury with the Gaziantep game likely to come one week too soon.
By contrast, Wilker Angel will not play for Goztepe again this season, with his next match for Goz Goz likely to come in the second division.
Similarly to their visitors, Gaziantep are also without players due to suspension, with Dogan Erdogan absent because of a red card.
The hosts' only injury problem is coming in the shape of Torgeir Borven, who will also be missing for the rest of the campaign.
Gaziantep possible starting lineup:
Guvenc; Vetrih, Tosca, Caulker; Pehlivan, Soyalp, Niyaz, Maxim, Kitsiou; Demir, Figueiredo
Goztepe SK possible starting lineup:
Piric; Paluli, Demirtas, Arslanagic, Emir; Aydogdu, Moubandje; Akbunar, Tijanic, Kayan; Di Santo
We say: Gaziantep 2-0 Goztepe SK
It really is now or never for Goztepe, as their status as a Super Lig club begins to fall out of their grasp.
A defeat will likely leave them relegated, with Gaziantep hoping to capitalise on their visitors' fragilities.
Top tip
Amos Murphy
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Goztepe SK win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
