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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 1pm UK
Doganlar Stadium

Goztepe SK
2 - 3
Kasimpasa

Di Santo (7'), Ndiaye (80')
Kara (32'), Angel (62'), Aydogdu (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muleka (5', 48'), Bozok (79')
Muleka (71'), Taskiran (86'), Serbest (90+9')

Preview: Goztepe SK vs. Kasimpasa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Goztepe SK and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With both teams battling for survival, Saturday's contest between Goztepe SK and Kasimpasa looks set to be a crucial game for both sides.

Goztepe enter the contest in the Super Lig relegation zone, but a victory on Saturday would seem them leapfrog their opponents, who are just two points better off than their hosts.


Match preview

After suffering four consecutive league defeats, Goztepe will be looking to halt their slide on Friday, but that may be easier said than done.

In their previous four Super Lig contests, they have conceded 10 goals, with three of those being shipped in the 3-1 defeat away to Giresunspor last weekend.

Goals from Umut Nayir, Alexis Perez and Muhammed Gumuskaya gave Giresunspor a three-goal lead, and although Franco Di Santo scored with 15 minutes left to play, the visitors could not mount a fightback.

Returning to home surroundings on Saturday may not bring any sort of comfort, with eight of Goztepe's 14 home league matches resulting in defeat.

Having failed to score in seven of their home games, Goztepe need to improve in the final third on home turf if they are to avoid the drop.

Meanwhile, the visitors enter the contest in 15th place, with their 10-year stay in the Turkish Super Lig currently at risk.

Last weekend, Kasimpasa suffered a 2-1 home defeat against Fenerbahce with the visitors winning the contest in dramatic fashion.

Miha Zajc gave Fenerbahce an early lead before Jackson Muleka levelled in the 67th minute for the hosts, but Kasimpasa's hopes of claiming a point were dashed in the first minute of stoppage time as Attila Szalai struck to snatch all three points for the away side.

Not only did the result extend Kasimpasa's winless league run to five games, but it also leaves them just two points clear of the relegation zone.

Despite facing fellow relegation rivals on Saturday, Kasimpasa may be content with a point after winning just two away league games this season.

Goztepe SK Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Goztepe SK form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Kasimpasa Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Kasimpasa form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L



Team News

Dzenan Burekovic misses out due to a muscle problem, while an ankle injury rules Marko Mihojevic out of the encounter.

Francois Moubandje was introduced at half time in Goztepe's last outing and the 31-year-old could come into the side for Saturday's contest.

There is also an expectation that a change will be made upfront with Di Santo set to replace Oussama Tannane in the starting lineup.

As for the visitors, they are set to be without the services of Jeffrey Bruma, Sakib Aytac and Nabil Dirar due to injury issues.

After receiving a red card last weekend, Awer Mabil will miss out for the visitors as he serves a one-match suspension.

Following his goal last weekend after coming on as a second-half substitute, Muleka is expected to be given a starting berth on Saturday.

Goztepe SK possible starting lineup:
Egribayat; Cankaya, Angel, Nukan; Alici, Aydogdu, Nwobodo, Moubandje; Ndiaye, Akbunar, Di Santo

Kasimpasa possible starting lineup:
Taskiran; Hadergjonaj, Spajic, Serbest, Elmali; Fall, Hajradinovic, Haspolat, Eysseric, Ben Ouanes; Muleka


SM words green background

We say: Goztepe SK 1-1 Kasimpasa

With both sides struggling to find the winning touch, we think that a cagey contest between two teams battling relegation will result in a point apiece, with neither manager wanting to end up on the losing side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goztepe SK win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goztepe SK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Goztepe SK vs Kasimpasa

Goztepe SK
28.6%
Draw
57.1%
Kasimpasa
14.3%
7
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