Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 41.47%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 29.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 1-0 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.