MX23RW : Friday, November 22 02:56:33| >> :600:41766938:41766938:
[monks data]
Greuther Furth
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
 
Wolfsburg

Greuther Furth
0 - 2
Wolfsburg


Seguin (41'), Griesbeck (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nmecha (10'), Weghorst (90+1' pen.)
Weghorst (14'), Baku (30'), Lukebakio (80')

Preview: Greuther Furth vs. Wolfsburg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bundesliga leaders Wolfsburg head to struggling Greuther Furth on Saturday, as league action returns after the international break.

The newly promoted hosts have only managed one point from their opening three league matches, whilst the visitors have won all three under their new manager.


Match preview

VfL Wolfsburg's Bote Baku celebrates scoring their first goal with Kevin Mbabu and teammates on January 23, 2021© Reuters

Although Greuther were expected to struggle on their return to the top flight of Germany, they will still remain disappointed at their poor start to the new campaign.

After only participating in the Bundesliga on one occasion before - a last-place finish back in 2013 - there appear to be very few positives to suggest their fate will be any different this time around.

Even including five friendlies before the competitive action started, Greuther have failed to win a match at all since winning promotion on the final day of the 2.Bundesliga season back in May.

A humiliating loss on penalties in the first round of the DFB-Pokal to amateur side SV Babelsberg preceded the two defeats and single draw that followed in the opening three Bundesliga games of this campaign.

To continue with the negatives, of which there are plenty, even the solitary point picked up so far was a disappointment.

This is because it arrived in a 1-1 draw at home to Arminia Bielefeld, a side tipped to struggle along with Greuther, and who were reduced to 10 men for the final 20 minutes of the match.

Meanwhile, the mood around the Wolfsburg camp is a lot brighter with the Wolves topping the table after winning their opening three league matches.

In addition, this game arrives just a few days ahead of their first match back in the Champions League since the 2015-16 season, after finishing fourth last campaign.

Manager Mark van Bommel arrived in the summer but despite the league position early on, he will not be entirely satisfied with how things have started at his new side.

The first reason for this is Wolfsburg's expulsion from the DFB-Pokal, after using an illegal sixth substitution during a 3-1 extra-time win over fourth-tier side Preussen Munster.

On top of that humiliation, the manager will not be overly pleased with his team's performances in the three league victories.

Two of the wins have arrived against sides tipped to struggle towards the bottom of the table - 1-0 over 10-man VfL Bochum and 2-1 over Hertha Berlin - whilst the 1-0 win over potential title challengers RB Leipzig last time out was arguably a fortunate one, on the basis of play during that match.

Greuther Furth Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • D
  • L

Greuther Furth form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L

Wolfsburg Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W

Wolfsburg form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Wolfsburg's Maxence Lacroix pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Hosts Greuther Furth have at least tried to solve their early season problems by being active in the closing stages of the transfer window.

Jetro Willems, Cedric Itten, Sebastian Griesbeck and Nick Viergever all signed for the Cloverleaves late in the window, and manager Stefan Leitl could be set to hand three of them their debuts on Saturday.

However, Gideon Jung and Jessic Ngankam have been ruled out with knee injuries, whilst Robin Kehr remains a doubt due to a groin problem.

Meanwhile, Wolfsburg will be missing regular midfielder Xaver Schlager for the trip to Greuther, and the next few months, after suffering a tear to his cruciate ligament in the win over Leipzig.

Joshua Guilavogui should come into central midfield in Schlager's place.

The Wolves have some new signings of their own that could potentially make debuts as well - Aster Vranckx has not yet featured due to injury, whilst late arrivals Dodi Lukebakio and Luca Waldschmidt will also be pushing to make their first squad.

Youngster Bartosz Bialek, Paulo Otavio and William are all missing through knee injuries, in addition to Schlager.

Greuther Furth possible starting lineup:
Burchert; Meyerhofer, Bauer, Hoogma, Willems; Seguin, Griesbeck, Green; Nielsen; Itten, Hrgota

Wolfsburg possible starting lineup:
Casteels; Mbabu, Lacroix, Brooks, Roussillon; Guilavogui, Arnold; Baku, Philipp, Steffen; Weghorst


SM words green background

We say: Greuther Furth 0-2 Wolfsburg

Although Wolfsburg have not particularly impressed performance-wise despite the results, they should have more than enough quality to see off a poor Greuther Furth side. The visitors are yet to hit top form so it may remain a narrow victory only.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:462922:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9418:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Greuther Furth vs Wolfsburg

Greuther Furth
10.9%
Draw
6.3%
Wolfsburg
82.8%
64
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Borussia Dortmund's Erling Braut Haaland celebrates after the match on August 7, 2021
Read Next:
Saturday's Bundesliga predictions including Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Hannover127141610622
2SC PaderbornSC Paderborn125611914521
3Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf126331813521
4Karlsruher SCKarlsruher125522320320
5Hamburger SV125432617919
6Elversberg125432214819
7Nuremberg125342420418
8FC Koln125342420418
9Magdeburg124622017318
10KaiserslauternKaiserslautern124532018217
11Hertha Berlin125252020017
12SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt124442623316
13Greuther Furth123451823-513
14Schalke 04Schalke123362124-312
15Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig123361424-1012
16Preussen Munster122551519-411
17SSV UlmUlm122461013-310
18Jahn RegensburgJahn12219532-277


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!