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Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Schalke

Hoffenheim
4 - 2
Schalke

Kramaric (47'), Akpoguma (52'), Baumgartner (60'), Bebou (64')
Adamyan (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Uth (12'), Mustafi (42')
Serdar (35'), Uth (56')

Preview: Hoffenheim vs. Schalke 04 - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Hoffenheim take on Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Saturday, with the hosts looking to extend their unbeaten run to five matches.

Schalke, meanwhile, simply have pride to play for having already been relegated.


Match preview

Hoffenheim coach Sebastian Hoeness pictured on February 18, 2021© Reuters

Hoffenheim are not completely clear of relegation just yet, but with four teams and seven points between themselves and the relegation playoff position, any risk of them falling into the second tier of German football for the first time since 2008 looks slim.

Sebastian Hoeness has clearly made a conscious effort to tighten up the defence in recent weeks, with his side impressively keeping clean sheets against Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig before overturning a 2-0 deficit to beat Borussia Monchengladbach 3-2.

Die Kraichgauer were less than 10 minutes of normal time away from keeping a third clean sheet in four matches last time out against Freiburg, but Vincenzo Grifo's late penalty cancelled out Andrej Kramaric's first-half strike to earn a share of the spoils.

Hoeness will certainly be targeting a win against struggling Schalke to all but secure safety for his side, while earning revenge for the 4-0 defeat to them in January.

Schalke 04's Amine Harit celebrates scoring their fourth goal on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Indeed, that victory was Schalke's first in the league for almost an entire calendar year, but it did not bring about the dramatic upturn in form which would have been required for them to mount an escape from relegation.

The club have changed manager since then, too, with Dimitrios Grammozis only winning one of his seven matches in charge so far.

Any hopes of him adding to that tally last time out against Arminia Bielefeld were significantly damaged by Malick Thiaw's 71st-minute red card after Fabian Klos had already provided the opposition with a narrow lead 21 minutes beforehand.

Schalke's 2020-21 season has undoubtedly been one of the worst for any team in Bundesliga history, with only Tasmania Berlin's tally of 10 points in the 1965-66 season worse than Schalke's 13 so far, although they still have time to improve on that of course.

Realistically, it is all about building for life in the second tier of German football now, with the recent signing of experienced second-tier striker Simon Terodde from Hamburger SV certainly reflective of that.

Whether Grammozis is handed the opportunity to be the man to take Schalke back to the top flight may depend on how his side fares in their final four matches of the season.

Hoffenheim Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D

Schalke 04 Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Hoffenheim's Munas Dabbur celebrates scoring their first goal on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Hoffenheim's injury crisis shows little signs of easing up, with Hoeness sure to be hoping for much better luck on that front next campaign should he remain in charge.

Dennis Geiger, Ermin Bicakcic and Benjamin Hubner are all expected to miss the rest of the season, with Chris Richards and Stefan Posch facing a race against time to feature again in May having suffered hip injuries.

That leaves Hoeness with major holes to repair at the heart of his defence, with Kevin Vogt and Havard Nordtveit most likely to fill them.

Munas Dabbur is likely to be absent due to personal reasons, while Kostas Stafylidis, Sebastian Rudy and Marco John are all fitness doubts.

Schalke, meanwhile, will travel without Thiaw, Salif Sane and Benjamin Stambouli due to suspensions.

Like his counterpart Hoeness, that leaves Grammozis with a problem at centre-back. Timo Becker may line up alongside Shkodran Mustafi in a back four.

Grammozis has his own lengthy injury list to contend with, too, with Levent Mercan, Hamza Mendyl, Nabil Bentaleb, Nassim Boujellab, Matija Nastasic, Steven Skrzybski and Kilian Ludewig all doubts.

Hoffenheim possible starting lineup:
Baumann; Kaderabek, Vogt, Nordtveit, Sessegnon; Samassekou, Grillitsch; Skov, Kramaric, Adamyan; Bebou

Schalke 04 possible starting lineup:
Fahrmann; Aydin, Mustafi, Becker, Kolasinac; Serdar, Mascarell; Harit, Uth, Hoppe; Huntelaar


SM words green background

We say: Hoffenheim 3-1 Schalke 04

We expect Hoffenheim to put any lingering relegation concerns to bed with a win, although it may not come as easily as expected.

Both sides are missing several key defenders through injury and suspension, so the array of talented attackers on the pitch may well enjoy themselves.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Schalke

Hoffenheim
77.4%
Draw
6.5%
Schalke 04
16.1%
31
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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