Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ujpest would win this match.

Result
Ujpest	Draw	Kecskemeti TE
40.15% ( 0.12)	26.01% ( -0.01)	33.84% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 53.86% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.5% (

0.01)

50.49% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.58% (

0.01)

72.42% (

-0.01)

Ujpest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.22% (

0.06)

24.78% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64% (

0.09)

59.35% (

-0.09)

Kecskemeti TE Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.6% (

-0.07)

28.39% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.86% (

-0.08)

64.14% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Ujpest 40.15%

Kecskemeti TE 33.84%

Draw 26%

Ujpest	Draw	Kecskemeti TE
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.15%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.84%