Friendlies 1

Jan 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

Faisal Al-Husseini International Stadium

Indonesia
0 - 5
Iran

Hubner (65')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Ghoddos (3'), Cheshmi (24'), Moghanlou (40'), Ghaedi (72', 88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Indonesia and Iran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

Last Game: Indonesia 1-2 Libya
Friday, January 5 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Iran

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Iran 2-1 Burkina Faso
Friday, January 5 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	7	7
2	USA	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	-3	3
4	Wales	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Iran
25.58% ( -0.22)	24.59% ( 0.01)	49.83% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.46% (

-0.2)

48.54% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.33% (

-0.18)

70.66% (

0.18)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

-0.29)

33.31% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06% (

-0.32)

69.93% (

0.31)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5% (

0.01)

19.5% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.61% (

0.02)

51.38% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Indonesia 25.58%

Iran 49.83%

Draw 24.58%

Indonesia	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.58%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.83%