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World Cup
Philippines national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 21, 2023 at 11am UK
Rizal Memorial Stadium
Indonesia national football team

Philippines
1 - 1
Indonesia

Reichelt (23')
Etheridge (34'), Ingreso (52'), Ingreso (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramdani (70')
Ramdani (34'), Struick (83'), Sato (85')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Philippines and Indonesia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

Last Game: Philippines 0-2 Vietnam
Thursday, November 16 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Indonesia

Last Game: Iraq 5-1 Indonesia
Thursday, November 16 at 2.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Philippines win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
PhilippinesDrawIndonesia
36.88% (1.422 1.42) 23.99% (0.134 0.13) 39.13% (-1.558 -1.56)
Both teams to score 61.49% (-0.306 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.17% (-0.478 -0.48)40.83% (0.475 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.78% (-0.488 -0.49)63.21% (0.486 0.49)
Philippines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.524 0.52)22.14% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.787 0.79)55.52% (-0.79 -0.79)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (-0.93300000000001 -0.93)21.02% (0.931 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (-1.474 -1.47)53.81% (1.472 1.47)
Score Analysis
    Philippines 36.88%
    Indonesia 39.13%
    Draw 23.98%
PhilippinesDrawIndonesia
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.2 0.2)
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.258 0.26)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.177 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.88%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 39.13%

How you voted: Philippines vs Indonesia

Philippines
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Indonesia
62.5%
8
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