![Iraq national football team Iraq national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/irqlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 2.45pm UK
Basra Athletics Stadium
![Indonesia national football team Indonesia national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/indlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Iraq5 - 1Indonesia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iraq 2-2 Jordan (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, October 17 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Brunei 0-6 Indonesia
Tuesday, October 17 at 1.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, October 17 at 1.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
We said: Iraq 2-0 Indonesia
Iraq have won just one of their last 11 World Cup qualifiers, but while that record may be underwhelming, we still think that they will have enough to beat a lowly-ranked Indonesian side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.
Result | ||
Iraq | Draw | Indonesia |
34.6% (![]() | 26.84% (![]() | 38.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.16% (![]() | 53.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.7% (![]() | 75.3% (![]() |
Iraq Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% (![]() | 29.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% (![]() | 65.57% (![]() |
Indonesia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.8% (![]() | 27.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.39% (![]() | 62.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Iraq 34.6%
Indonesia 38.55%
Draw 26.84%
Iraq | Draw | Indonesia |
1-0 @ 9.79% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.55% |
How you voted: Iraq vs Indonesia
Iraq
50.0%Draw
15.4%Indonesia
34.6%26
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 21:50:29
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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3
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4
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7
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8
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9
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10
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