We said: Singapore 1-1 Papua New Guinea
Only one place separates the two minnows in the FIFA World Rankings at present, and we expect the standings to ring true in Thursday's affair.
There is no shortage of goals in the Papua New Guinea ranks, but Singapore have a respectable unbeaten run to protect and can strike back on home soil to hold their visitors to a draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Singapore win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Singapore win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.