World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2022 at 2pm UK
P. New Guinea1 - 0New Caledonia
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Papua New Guinea and New Caledonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Solomon Islands 3-2 P. New Guinea
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: New Zealand 7-1 New Caledonia
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Papua New Guinea win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for New Caledonia had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Papua New Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest New Caledonia win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Papua New Guinea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Papua New Guinea | Draw | New Caledonia |
| 49.63% | 24.15% | 26.22% |
| Both teams to score 55.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
