Suriname

2 - 1

Nicaragua

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.