MX23RW : Friday, January 24 14:50:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
0 - 0
Reysol


Fujiwara (55'), Horigome (76')
FT

Hosoya (33'), Takamine (45+2'), Tatsuta (50'), Muto (85')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Reysol
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKashiwa Reysol
40.09% (-0.303 -0.3) 26.09% (0.166 0.17) 33.82% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.58% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (-0.671 -0.67)50.85% (0.671 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27% (-0.595 -0.6)72.73% (0.59400000000001 0.59)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.459 -0.46)24.97% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (-0.64 -0.64)59.62% (0.64 0.64)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.241 -0.24)28.58% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.302 -0.3)64.37% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 40.09%
    Kashiwa Reysol 33.82%
    Draw 26.09%
Albirex NiigataDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.135 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.179 0.18)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.82%

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