Okayama

2 - 0

Kyoto Sanga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fagiano Okayama win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fagiano Okayama would win this match.