Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Urawa Red Diamonds win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.