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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 at 7am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
2 - 1
Vissel Kobe

Marcinho (20'), Ienaga (84' pen.)
Schmidt (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kobayashi (51')
Sakai (90+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Wednesday, October 12 at 11am in J1 League

Vissel Kobe

All competitions
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, October 12 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Vissel Kobe win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawVissel Kobe
60.01% (0.828 0.83) 21.44% (-0.259 -0.26) 18.55% (-0.577 -0.58)
Both teams to score 54.31% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.95% (0.256 0.26)43.04% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.55% (0.253 0.25)65.44% (-0.262 -0.26)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (0.337 0.34)13.94% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (0.669 0.67)41.4% (-0.678 -0.68)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (-0.477 -0.48)36.89% (0.468 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.32% (-0.477 -0.48)73.68% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 60.01%
    Vissel Kobe 18.55%
    Draw 21.43%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.56% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.54% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.121 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 60.01%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.43%
0-1 @ 5.13% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 18.55%

Head to Head
May 18, 2022 11am
Vissel Kobe
0-1
Kawasaki
Taniguchi (90+2')
Sep 29, 2021 11am
Kawasaki
3-1
Vissel Kobe
Damiao (55' pen.), Vermaelen (72' og.), Ienaga (85')
Muto (13')
Krkic (86')
Mar 17, 2021 10am
Vissel Kobe
1-1
Kawasaki
Kikuchi (90+10')
Damiao (72')
Jesiel (35'), Tanaka (51')
Sep 9, 2020 10.30am
Kawasaki
3-2
Vissel Kobe
Kobayashi (8' pen.), Damiao (82' pen.), Miyashiro (85')
Furuhashi (23'), Fujimoto (59')
Watanabe (7'), Dankler (27'), Kikuchi (82')
Aug 26, 2020 11am
Vissel Kobe
2-2
Kawasaki
Nishi (30'), Douglas (42')
Oda (64'), Sasaki (76'), Osaki (78')
Oshima (23'), Hatate (75')
rhs 2.0
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