J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 30, 2023 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Sagan Tosu3 - 2Kyoto Sanga
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kyoto Sanga.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-2 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 23 at 7am in J1 League
Saturday, September 23 at 7am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
42.12% ( -0.21) | 25.55% ( -0.04) | 32.33% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% ( 0.24) | 48.91% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( 0.22) | 71% ( -0.22) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( 0) | 23.08% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.08% ( 0.01) | 56.92% ( -0.01) |
| Kyoto Sanga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0.28) | 28.58% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.62% ( 0.35) | 64.37% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu 42.12%
Kyoto Sanga 32.33%
Draw 25.54%
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.33% |
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 6am
Gameweek 9
Kyoto Sanga
2-3
Sagan Tosu
Oct 1, 2022 7am
Apr 10, 2022 8am
Gameweek 8
Kyoto Sanga
3-1
Sagan Tosu
Utaka (10', 70'), Kawasaki (14')
Matsuda (35'), Mendes (74'), Asada (87')
Matsuda (35'), Mendes (74'), Asada (87')
Form Guide
