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Genoa logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Juventus logo

Genoa
2 - 1
Juventus

Gudmundsson (87'), Criscito (90+5' pen.)
Melegoni (43'), Badelj (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dybala (48')
Dybala (29'), Rugani (34'), Arthur (44')

Preview: Genoa vs. Juventus - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Juventus will be bidding to make it three Serie A victories in a row when they travel to relegation-threatened Genoa on Friday night.

The Old Lady are currently fourth in the table, eight points behind leaders AC Milan, while Genoa are 19th, three points behind 17th-placed Cagliari heading into the next set of fixtures.


Match preview

 Genoa's Manolo Portanova and Davide Biraschi applaud fans after the match with Atalanta BC on December 21, 2021© Reuters

Genoa have been present in Italy's top flight since 2007, but their existence at this level of football is being threatened, as a total of 25 points from 35 matches has left them down in 19th position in the table.

Alexander Blessin's side managed to record an important 1-0 victory over Cagliari on April 24 but could not make it back-to-back successes, going down 1-0 at Sampdoria last time out, which has left them three points behind 17th-placed Cagliari on the same number of games.

Two wins from their final three matches might well prove enough to stay in the division, but they have two extremely tough games against Juventus and Napoli before ending their season at home to Bologna.

Genoa have only won three league games this term, which is comfortably the worst record in the division, and they have been beaten in four of their last five games at this level, with the disappointing run following a spell where they actually went unbeaten across eight matches to give themselves a fighting chance.

The Red and Blues have lost each of their last six league games with Juventus, meanwhile, including a 2-0 defeat in the reverse match earlier this season.

Juventus coach Massimiliano Allegri on April 3, 2022© Reuters

Juventus, meanwhile, have won each of their last three matches in all competitions, booking their spot in the Coppa Italia final with a 2-0 success over Fiorentina before recording back-to-back league successes over Sassuolo and Venezia to make sure of a top-four finish in Serie A.

The Old Lady are mathematically still in the title race, but they sit eight points behind leaders AC Milan with three games left, so it is incredibly difficult to imagine them finishing at the summit, especially as second-placed Inter Milan are also six points above them on the same number of games.

Juventus are only a point behind third-placed Napoli, meanwhile, and will certainly have the Naples outfit in their sights ahead of their final three league games of the season against Genoa, Lazio and Fiorentina.

Massimiliano Allegri's side can win some silverware this season in the shape of the Coppa Italia, preparing to take on Italian champions Inter Milan in the final on May 11, and a positive end to what has been a difficult campaign would leave the supporters confident ahead of next term.

Juventus only have the fifth-best away record in Serie A this season, but they will be taking on a Genoa outfit that have the third-worst home record, having collected just 14 points from 17 matches.

Genoa Serie A form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Juventus Serie A form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Juventus form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Juventus' Federico Chiesa receives medical attention after sustaining an injury on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Genoa are expected to be without Zinho Vanheusden, Nicolo Rovella, Andrea Cambiaso, Lennart Czyborra, Nikola Maksimovic and Roberto Piccoli through injury on Friday.

Stefano Sturaro should overcome the issue that forced him off against Sampdoria, though, and the team could be ultimately be unchanged from the 1-0 defeat last time out.

A 4-2-3-1 formation is likely to include Pablo Galdames in the number 10 position, while leading goalscorer Mattia Destro will start at centre-forward for the relegation-threatened outfit.

As for Juventus, Mattia De Sciglio and Juan Cuadrado are doubts, while Federico Chiesa, Manuel Locatelli, Kaio Jorge and Weston McKennie will definitely be absent.

Head coach Allegri is expected to keep faith with the majority of the side that took to the field last time out, although there could be a change in midfield, with Arthur potentially featuring alongside Adrien Rabiot and Denis Zakaria, while Giorgio Chiellini could return at the back.

Alex Sandro is also pushing to be involved on the left, but Luca Pellegrini should retain his spot, while Dusan Vlahovic is set to be joined by Alvaro Morata in the final third of the field.

Genoa possible starting lineup:
Sirigu; Frendrup, Bani, Ostigard, Vasquez; Sturaro, Badelj; Ekuban, Galdames, Amiri; Destro

Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Chiellini, Bonucci, De Ligt; Bernardeschi, Zakaria, Arthur, Rabiot, Pellegrini; Morata, Vlahovic


SM words green background

We say: Genoa 1-2 Juventus

Genoa are fighting for their lives towards the bottom of the table and are more than capable of picking up a positive result against Juventus. The Old Lady have been in strong form in recent weeks, though, and we are expecting the visitors to shade a close contest on Friday night.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.75%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Genoa vs Juventus

Genoa
11.8%
Draw
11.8%
Juventus
76.4%
203
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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