KNVB Beker | Second Round
Dec 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
USV Hercules3 - 2Ajax
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.2%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for USV Hercules had a probability of 5.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (8.05%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.62%), while for a USV Hercules win it was 2-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| USV Hercules | Draw | Ajax |
| 5.04% | 8.76% | 86.2% |
| Both teams to score 56.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.06% | 17.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.9% | 35.1% |
| USV Hercules Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.82% | 42.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.41% | 78.59% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.23% | 2.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 87.29% | 12.71% |
| Score Analysis |
USV Hercules 5.04%
Ajax 86.2%
Draw 8.76%
| USV Hercules | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 1.56% 1-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.47% Total : 5.04% | 1-1 @ 3.62% 2-2 @ 2.8% 0-0 @ 1.17% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.21% Total : 8.76% | 0-3 @ 8.98% 0-4 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 7.52% 1-4 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-5 @ 5.77% 1-5 @ 4.99% 0-1 @ 4.19% 0-6 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 3.35% 2-4 @ 3% 1-6 @ 2.98% 2-5 @ 2.15% 0-7 @ 1.77% 1-7 @ 1.53% 2-6 @ 1.29% Other @ 6% Total : 86.2% |
