Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax2 - 1Sparta
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-3 Ajax
Wednesday, December 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Wednesday, December 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 0-1 Sparta
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Ajax 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam
While Sparta are in fine form on their travels, Ajax pack a punch and should continue their impressive run this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
53.84% ( -0.25) | 21.3% ( 0.12) | 24.85% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 64.34% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
